Animation showcasing the predictions of various regression models (Linear, Ridge, Lasso, Elastic Net, and SVR) alongside a logistic regression model for classification. The plots dynamically update to display how each model fits and predicts data points.
Regression is one of the most important tools in machine learning. It’s used to predict numbers, like estimating house prices, forecasting stock trends, or analyzing customer behavior. Simply put, regression helps us understand the relationship between different variables and make accurate predictions. In this blog post, we’ll explore the top 10 regression techniques you need to know in 2025. These techniques are powerful tools for solving a range of problems, from simple predictions to more complex scenarios involving large datasets.
Each method has unique strengths, and choosing the right one can greatly improve the accuracy of your results. Don’t worry if you’re new to regression—this guide will explain everything.
By the end, you’ll have a solid understanding of these techniques, how they work, and where to apply them in real-world projects. Let’s get started!
What is Linear Regression?
Linear regression is one of the simplest and most commonly used techniques in machine learning. It helps us understand the relationship between two variables by fitting a straight line through the data points. This line is used to predict the value of one variable based on the value of the other. In other words, linear regression answers the question: “How does one thing change when another thing changes?”
The formula for linear regression is expressed as:
Y = mX + b
Where:
Let’s walk through an example to make it clearer:
Imagine that you’re a real estate agent, and you want to predict the price of a house based on its size (in square feet). Here is the collected data of several houses, noting their sizes and prices:
| House Size (X) | Price (Y) |
|---|---|
| 1,000 sq ft | $150,000 |
| 1,500 sq ft | $200,000 |
| 2,000 sq ft | $250,000 |
| 2,500 sq ft | $300,000 |
Now, you have to use linear regression to predict the price of a house based on its size. The technique will find the best line that fits this data, so you can use the size (X) to predict the price (Y).
In this case, the relationship between the size of the house and its price appears to be linear: as the size increases, so does the price. Linear regression will calculate the slope (m) and intercept (b) for the best-fit line that represents this relationship.
Here’s a Python implementation of linear regression using the scikit-learn library, which is a popular machine learning library. We’ll use the same house pricing example to illustrate how linear regression works in practice.
# Importing necessary libraries
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error, r2_score
# Sample data: House size in square feet and their corresponding prices
house_size = np.array([1000, 1500, 2000, 2500]).reshape(-1, 1) # Independent variable (X)
house_price = np.array([150000, 200000, 250000, 300000]) # Dependent variable (Y)
# Splitting the data into training and testing sets (80% train, 20% test)
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(house_size, house_price, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
# Initializing the Linear Regression model
model = LinearRegression()
# Training the model
model.fit(X_train, y_train)
# Making predictions on the test data
y_pred = model.predict(X_test)
# Evaluating the model
mse = mean_squared_error(y_test, y_pred)
r2 = r2_score(y_test, y_pred)
# Displaying the results
print(f"Mean Squared Error: {mse}")
print(f"R-squared: {r2}")
# Plotting the data and the regression line
plt.scatter(house_size, house_price, color='blue', label='Data Points')
plt.plot(house_size, model.predict(house_size), color='red', label='Regression Line')
plt.title('House Price Prediction')
plt.xlabel('Size of House (sq ft)')
plt.ylabel('Price ($)')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
numpy for handling numerical data, matplotlib for plotting the graph, and sklearn for building and evaluating the model.house_size is the independent variable (X), which contains the sizes of the houses.house_price is the dependent variable (Y), which contains the corresponding house prices.train_test_split. 80% of the data is used to train the model, and the remaining 20% is used to test the model.LinearRegression() model and train it using the training data (X_train, y_train).X_test).Linear regression is ideal when:
While linear regression is a great starting point, it does have some limitations:
What is Logistic Regression?
While linear regression helps predict continuous values (like house prices), logistic regression is used when we need to predict categorical outcomes. For example, you might want to predict whether an email is spam or not, or if a patient has a disease or doesn’t.
Unlike linear regression, which predicts continuous values, logistic regression is designed to predict the probability of a binary outcome (yes/no, 0/1, true/false). The result of logistic regression is a probability that is then mapped to one of the two categories.
The formula for logistic regression is based on the logistic function, also known as the sigmoid function. It transforms the output of a linear equation into a value between 0 and 1, which is perfect for binary classification.
The equation for logistic regression is:
Where:
The output is always a probability between 0 and 1. If this probability is greater than 0.5, we classify it as 1 (positive class), and if it’s less than 0.5, we classify it as 0 (negative class).
Let’s consider a simple example where you want to predict whether an email is spam or not based on the number of links in the email.
Here’s a dataset for training:
| Number of Links (X) | Spam (Y) |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 5 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 |
| 6 | 1 |
In this case:
Let’s see how to apply logistic regression in Python using the scikit-learn library to predict whether an email is spam or not based on the number of links in the email.
# Importing necessary libraries
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, confusion_matrix
# Sample data: Number of links in email and whether the email is spam (1) or not (0)
X = np.array([2, 5, 7, 3, 6]).reshape(-1, 1) # Feature: Number of Links
Y = np.array([0, 1, 1, 0, 1]) # Target: Spam (1) or Not Spam (0)
# Splitting the data into training and testing sets (80% train, 20% test)
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, Y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
# Initializing the Logistic Regression model
model = LogisticRegression()
# Training the model
model.fit(X_train, y_train)
# Making predictions on the test data
y_pred = model.predict(X_test)
# Evaluating the model
accuracy = accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred)
conf_matrix = confusion_matrix(y_test, y_pred)
# Displaying the results
print(f"Accuracy: {accuracy}")
print(f"Confusion Matrix:\n{conf_matrix}")
# Plotting the decision boundary
plt.scatter(X, Y, color='blue', label='Data Points')
plt.plot(X, model.predict_proba(X)[:, 1], color='red', label='Logistic Regression Curve')
plt.title('Spam Prediction')
plt.xlabel('Number of Links')
plt.ylabel('Spam (1) or Not Spam (0)')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
numpy for handling numerical data.matplotlib for plotting the graph.sklearn.linear_model for the logistic regression model.sklearn.model_selection for splitting the data into training and test sets.sklearn.metrics for evaluating the model.X to represent the number of links in the email and Y to represent whether the email is spam or not (1 for spam, 0 for not spam).LogisticRegression model is created and trained on the training data (X_train, y_train).Logistic regression is best suited for problems where:
What is Ridge Regression?
Ridge regression is a variation of linear regression that aims to address the problem of overfitting. Overfitting happens when the model becomes too complex and fits the noise in the data rather than the actual underlying pattern. In simple terms, it happens when a model is too sensitive to small fluctuations in the training data, which makes it perform poorly on unseen (test) data.
Ridge regression adds an additional term to the regular least squares method used in linear regression. This term is the L2 penalty, which is the sum of the squared values of the model’s coefficients (weights). The formula for ridge regression looks like this:
Where:
The goal of ridge regression is to find the set of coefficients that minimize both the error and the penalty term. The larger the λ, the stronger the penalty, which means the coefficients will shrink, and the model becomes simpler.
Let’s consider a dataset where we are trying to predict the price of a house based on the number of rooms and square footage. Suppose we have some data:
| Square Footage | Rooms | House Price (Target) |
|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 3 | 300,000 |
| 1500 | 4 | 400,000 |
| 2000 | 4 | 450,000 |
| 2500 | 5 | 500,000 |
| 3000 | 5 | 550,000 |
Without regularization, linear regression might give large weights to certain features, especially if the data is noisy. Ridge regression helps to reduce these large weights and makes the model more reliable.
To understand how ridge regression works in practice, let’s take a closer look at how it would apply to this dataset. The general steps are:
Let’s implement ridge regression techniques in Python using scikit-learn. We’ll use the house price example with square footage and rooms as input features
# Importing necessary libraries
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from sklearn.linear_model import Ridge
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
# Sample data: Square footage, Rooms, and House Price
X = np.array([[1000, 3], [1500, 4], [2000, 4], [2500, 5], [3000, 5]]) # Features: Square footage, Rooms
y = np.array([300000, 400000, 450000, 500000, 550000]) # Target: House Price
# Splitting data into training and test sets (80% train, 20% test)
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
# Initializing the Ridge Regression model with lambda (alpha) = 1.0
ridge_reg = Ridge(alpha=1.0)
# Training the model
ridge_reg.fit(X_train, y_train)
# Making predictions on the test data
y_pred = ridge_reg.predict(X_test)
# Evaluating the model
mse = mean_squared_error(y_test, y_pred) # Mean Squared Error
print(f"Mean Squared Error: {mse}")
# Plotting the predictions vs actual values
plt.scatter(y_test, y_pred)
plt.plot([min(y_test), max(y_test)], [min(y_test), max(y_test)], color='red', linestyle='--')
plt.xlabel('True Values')
plt.ylabel('Predictions')
plt.title('Ridge Regression: Predicted vs Actual House Prices')
plt.show()
numpy for data manipulation.matplotlib for visualizing the results.Ridge from sklearn for ridge regression.train_test_split for splitting the dataset into training and test sets.mean_squared_error to evaluate the model’s performance.fit() method.predict() method.Ridge regression is most beneficial when:
What is Lasso Regression Techniques?
Lasso Regression, which stands for Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator, is another variation of linear regression that adds a regularization term. Like Ridge Regression, Lasso also addresses overfitting by penalizing large coefficients. However, Lasso has a unique feature: it can set some coefficients to zero, effectively removing those features from the model.
In simpler terms, Lasso is like a feature selector. It helps not only to shrink coefficients but also to automatically perform feature selection by removing unnecessary features.
The main difference between Ridge and Lasso lies in the penalty term. While Ridge uses an L2 penalty (the sum of squared coefficients), Lasso uses an L1 penalty (the sum of the absolute values of the coefficients). This difference in penalties gives Lasso the ability to set some coefficients exactly to zero, which leads to simpler models with fewer features.
The formula for the cost function in Lasso regression looks like this:
Where:
The goal of Lasso regression is to find the coefficients that minimize both the error term and the penalty, with the added benefit of eliminating unimportant features.
Imagine we have a dataset with features like square footage, number of rooms, and age of the house. We want to predict the house price. Some of these features may be irrelevant or redundant. Lasso regression helps us select only the most important features and discard the less relevant ones.
Here’s an example dataset:
| Square Footage | Rooms | House Age | House Price (Target) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 3 | 10 | 300,000 |
| 1500 | 4 | 8 | 400,000 |
| 2000 | 4 | 5 | 450,000 |
| 2500 | 5 | 3 | 500,000 |
| 3000 | 5 | 1 | 550,000 |
Lasso regression will help us identify the most important features (like square footage or rooms) and eliminate less relevant ones (like house age if it turns out not to affect the price significantly).
Lasso regression is particularly useful when:
Let’s walk through an implementation of Lasso regression in Python. We will use the house price example again with square footage, rooms, and house age as features.
# Importing necessary libraries
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from sklearn.linear_model import Lasso
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
# Sample data: Square footage, Rooms, House Age, and House Price
X = np.array([[1000, 3, 10], [1500, 4, 8], [2000, 4, 5], [2500, 5, 3], [3000, 5, 1]]) # Features: Square footage, Rooms, Age
y = np.array([300000, 400000, 450000, 500000, 550000]) # Target: House Price
# Splitting data into training and test sets (80% train, 20% test)
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
# Initializing the Lasso Regression model with lambda (alpha) = 1.0
lasso_reg = Lasso(alpha=1.0)
# Training the model
lasso_reg.fit(X_train, y_train)
# Making predictions on the test data
y_pred = lasso_reg.predict(X_test)
# Evaluating the model
mse = mean_squared_error(y_test, y_pred) # Mean Squared Error
print(f"Mean Squared Error: {mse}")
# Plotting the predictions vs actual values
plt.scatter(y_test, y_pred)
plt.plot([min(y_test), max(y_test)], [min(y_test), max(y_test)], color='red', linestyle='--')
plt.xlabel('True Values')
plt.ylabel('Predictions')
plt.title('Lasso Regression: Predicted vs Actual House Prices')
plt.show()
numpy for data manipulation.matplotlib for plotting results.Lasso from sklearn for performing Lasso regression.train_test_split for dividing the data into training and test sets.mean_squared_error for evaluating model performance.fit() method.predict() method.Lasso regression is especially useful when:
What is Elastic Net Regression Techniques?
Elastic Net Regression is a machine learning technique that combines the features of both Ridge Regression (L2 regularization) and Lasso Regression (L1 regularization). It is particularly useful when there are many features in the dataset, and it’s uncertain whether Lasso or Ridge would be the better choice for regularization.
Elastic Net works by adding a mix of L1 and L2 penalties to the cost function, making it a more flexible and effective tool than either Ridge or Lasso alone. This combined penalty can help when there are highly correlated features in the dataset or when the number of predictors exceeds the number of observations.
The Elastic Net cost function can be represented as:
Where:
Elastic Net combines both penalties by introducing two parameters: λ₁ for L1 (Lasso) and λ₂ for L2 (Ridge). This allows for a balance between feature selection (Lasso’s strength) and shrinkage of coefficients (Ridge’s strength).
Elastic Net is particularly beneficial in situations where:
Let’s use the same dataset to predict house prices, but this time we’ll apply Elastic Net Regression to see how it works.
Here’s the dataset:
| Square Footage | Rooms | House Age | House Price (Target) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 3 | 10 | 300,000 |
| 1500 | 4 | 8 | 400,000 |
| 2000 | 4 | 5 | 450,000 |
| 2500 | 5 | 3 | 500,000 |
| 3000 | 5 | 1 | 550,000 |
Let’s implement Elastic Net in Python using the scikit-learn library to predict house prices. We’ll use the same dataset and split it into training and test sets.
# Importing necessary libraries
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from sklearn.linear_model import ElasticNet
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
# Sample data: Square footage, Rooms, House Age, and House Price
X = np.array([[1000, 3, 10], [1500, 4, 8], [2000, 4, 5], [2500, 5, 3], [3000, 5, 1]]) # Features: Square footage, Rooms, Age
y = np.array([300000, 400000, 450000, 500000, 550000]) # Target: House Price
# Splitting data into training and test sets (80% train, 20% test)
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
# Initializing the Elastic Net model with λ1 = 0.5 and λ2 = 0.5
elastic_net = ElasticNet(alpha=1.0, l1_ratio=0.5)
# Training the model
elastic_net.fit(X_train, y_train)
# Making predictions on the test data
y_pred = elastic_net.predict(X_test)
# Evaluating the model
mse = mean_squared_error(y_test, y_pred) # Mean Squared Error
print(f"Mean Squared Error: {mse}")
# Plotting the predictions vs actual values
plt.scatter(y_test, y_pred)
plt.plot([min(y_test), max(y_test)], [min(y_test), max(y_test)], color='red', linestyle='--')
plt.xlabel('True Values')
plt.ylabel('Predictions')
plt.title('Elastic Net Regression: Predicted vs Actual House Prices')
plt.show()
ElasticNet from scikit-learn to perform Elastic Net regression.train_test_split to split data into training and test sets.mean_squared_error to evaluate the model performance.matplotlib to plot the results.Elastic Net is most useful when:
What is Support Vector Regression?
Support Vector Regression (SVR) is a machine learning algorithm based on Support Vector Machines (SVM), primarily designed for classification. SVR adapts the principles of SVM to solve regression problems. Instead of predicting discrete class labels, SVR predicts continuous output values by finding a hyperplane that fits the data within a specified margin of tolerance (epsilon).
SVR is highly effective for complex datasets where relationships between variables may not be linear. By using kernels, it can model non-linear relationships efficiently.
Let’s use SVR to predict house prices based on features like square footage, the number of rooms, and house age.
# Importing libraries
import numpy as np
from sklearn.svm import SVR
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error, r2_score
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
# Sample dataset
X = np.array([[1000, 3, 10], [1500, 4, 8], [2000, 4, 5], [2500, 5, 3], [3000, 5, 1]]) # Features: Square footage, Rooms, Age
y = np.array([300000, 400000, 450000, 500000, 550000]) # Target: House Price
# Splitting dataset into training and test sets
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
# Creating and fitting the SVR model with an RBF kernel
svr_model = SVR(kernel='rbf', C=1000, epsilon=5000)
svr_model.fit(X_train, y_train)
# Making predictions
y_pred = svr_model.predict(X_test)
# Evaluating the model
mse = mean_squared_error(y_test, y_pred)
r2 = r2_score(y_test, y_pred)
print(f"Mean Squared Error: {mse}")
print(f"R-squared Score: {r2}")
# Plotting the predictions vs actual values
plt.scatter(y_test, y_pred, color='blue', label='Predictions')
plt.plot([min(y_test), max(y_test)], [min(y_test), max(y_test)], color='red', linestyle='--', label='Ideal Fit')
plt.xlabel('Actual Values')
plt.ylabel('Predicted Values')
plt.title('SVR: Predicted vs Actual House Prices')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
As we step into 2025, mastering the top regression techniques is crucial for tackling diverse real-world challenges. Each method we’ve explored—Linear Regression, Logistic Regression, Ridge Regression, Lasso Regression, Elastic Net Regression, and Support Vector Regression (SVR)—offers unique strengths for specific scenarios.
The key to using these techniques lies in understanding your data and problem statement. By aligning the strengths of each technique with the task at hand, you can build more accurate and reliable models.
Regression is a statistical method used to model relationships between dependent and independent variables, predicting continuous outcomes like prices, temperatures, or sales.
Linear Regression predicts continuous values, while Logistic Regression predicts probabilities for classification tasks.
Use Ridge Regression when your dataset has multicollinearity (highly correlated features) to prevent overfitting.
Lasso Regression performs feature selection by shrinking some coefficients to zero, simplifying models and improving interpretability.
Elastic Net combines Ridge’s handling of multicollinearity with Lasso’s feature selection, making it effective for complex datasets.
Support Vector Regression (SVR) is a powerful technique for predicting continuous outcomes, especially in datasets with non-linear relationships.
Kaggle Datasets and Tutorials
Access free datasets and practical tutorials for experimenting with regression techniques.
https://www.kaggle.com/
Towards Data Science: Regression Techniques
Articles explaining various regression methods with clear examples and use cases.
https://towardsdatascience.com/
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